Race 2A

midweek-firefly-april-20

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jackson McCoy 20.8% 19.1% 20.8% 15.7% 13.6% 6.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 4.2% 4.7% 7.4% 10.2% 16.4% 19.9% 22.5% 12.3% 2.4%
John Rolander 28.4% 25.0% 19.2% 13.9% 9.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 23.9% 23.8% 17.8% 16.6% 10.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Croteau 4.7% 5.5% 8.3% 9.7% 13.1% 19.2% 21.5% 12.3% 5.7%
Reed Lorimer 9.9% 13.2% 15.8% 17.3% 16.7% 15.1% 9.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Nicolas Bulgarides 1.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 6.5% 11.1% 35.1% 37.2%
Colby Vickerson 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 11.9% 14.9% 19.4% 18.8% 11.9% 3.9%
Kristina Schneider 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 4.4% 11.4% 25.3% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.