Race 3A

midweek-firefly-april-20

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Rolander 29.1% 24.5% 19.0% 14.0% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 21.9% 20.7% 18.6% 17.0% 12.7% 6.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Pierre DuPont 5.1% 4.7% 8.5% 11.3% 15.0% 20.8% 19.0% 13.2% 2.4%
Emily Croteau 4.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.2% 15.4% 18.0% 23.5% 14.2% 3.6%
Reed Lorimer 11.1% 15.0% 16.3% 15.5% 15.7% 12.5% 10.0% 3.1% 0.8%
Jackson McCoy 19.8% 21.4% 20.7% 17.6% 11.0% 6.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Nicolas Bulgarides 1.1% 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 6.3% 12.7% 31.9% 39.6%
Kristina Schneider 1.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 4.4% 9.9% 26.3% 50.2%
Colby Vickerson 6.3% 6.3% 6.1% 11.5% 16.7% 20.4% 19.4% 10.2% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.