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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+3.03vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+7.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.41+4.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University-0.25+5.51vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.47+1.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.38+0.85vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.01+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.70-0.29vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College-0.25+0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.02-1.65vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.79-5.64vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.63-1.18vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.59+1.07vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.19-4.62vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.93-4.69vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.96-4.77vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-2.68-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Boston University0.9721.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.184.6%1st Place
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7.04Brown University0.417.2%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University-0.253.9%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College0.478.6%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University0.387.4%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University0.014.8%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island0.706.3%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College-0.253.5%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont-0.025.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University0.7912.8%1st Place
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10.82Harvard University-0.633.3%1st Place
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14.07McGill University-1.591.5%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University-0.193.9%1st Place
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13.51University of New Hampshire-1.411.1%1st Place
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11.31University of New Hampshire-0.932.6%1st Place
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12.23Boston University-0.962.1%1st Place
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16.36Amherst College-2.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 21.0% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Riley Donahue | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Mason | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Warren | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| William Denker | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 24.1% | 15.0% |
| Grant Smith | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 11.7% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas David | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 4.7% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.