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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+4.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.39vs Predicted
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3Boston University4.07+2.33vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.73+6.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.11+3.56vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.87+3.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.09-1.75vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07+0.65vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.83vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32+1.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.84-2.36vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.92-3.51vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.74-0.60vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.53-1.20vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.53-2.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13University of Wisconsin4.100.2%1st Place
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5.39St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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9.73Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.45Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.4Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.8McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 15.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Hannon | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Zach Runci | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| John Marzulli | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| Mark Abraao York | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 28.8% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 29.7% |
| Nick Aswad | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.