Race 6A

midweek-firefly-april-20

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Rolander 28.8% 22.9% 21.9% 13.9% 6.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 20.5% 22.2% 19.1% 18.1% 10.9% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 9.5% 12.4% 16.5% 16.7% 16.5% 16.0% 8.6% 3.3% 0.5%
Emily Croteau 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.8% 14.2% 18.4% 22.8% 13.7% 4.2%
Jackson McCoy 22.8% 22.3% 17.1% 14.6% 12.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Colby Vickerson 5.6% 6.0% 8.3% 10.8% 16.2% 19.5% 19.5% 11.4% 2.7%
Pierre DuPont 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 11.7% 15.5% 20.4% 20.4% 10.6% 3.0%
Nicolas Bulgarides 1.4% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 5.3% 12.0% 32.3% 39.0%
Kristina Schneider 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 4.7% 9.2% 26.5% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.