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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.36vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-2.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.46University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 35.1% | 26.8% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.1% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 17.7% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.3% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 26.5% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 59.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.