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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.88vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-2.59vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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2.43Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 32.4% | 27.2% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.4% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.4% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 17.2% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 28.7% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 61.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.