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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.54vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.68vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74-2.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-3.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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2.27Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.46University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 13.6% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 14.7% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 41.1% | 23.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.5% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 18.3% | 59.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.