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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.06+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.87vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 35.8% | 26.5% | 19.1% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 12.2% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.4% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 24.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 17.2% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 60.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.