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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92-3.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.24vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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3.68University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 37.0% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.3% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.0% | 20.7% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 25.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 15.1% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 17.1% | 59.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.