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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.39+4.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-1.57vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.53-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 34.7% | 27.4% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.0% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 17.3% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 16.2% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 60.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.