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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92-1.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.35vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 36.6% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 13.7% | 20.1% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 16.4% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.9% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 61.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 22.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.