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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+3.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+7.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University-0.25+6.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.08+0.88vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.47+1.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.38+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.02+1.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.79-2.51vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.01-0.34vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College-0.25-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.70-3.34vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.19-2.52vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.96-1.03vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.63-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.93-3.26vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.41-2.46vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.59-2.77vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-2.68-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Boston University0.9717.0%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.183.8%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University-0.253.4%1st Place
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4.88Brown University1.0814.2%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College0.478.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University0.385.9%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont-0.025.1%1st Place
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5.49Brown University0.7912.3%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University0.014.7%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College-0.253.9%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island0.706.2%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University-0.194.1%1st Place
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11.97Boston University-0.962.3%1st Place
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10.99Harvard University-0.632.8%1st Place
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11.74University of New Hampshire-0.932.4%1st Place
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13.54University of New Hampshire-1.412.1%1st Place
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14.23McGill University-1.591.3%1st Place
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16.47Amherst College-2.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Greta Traver | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Julian Dahiya | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Denker | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Warren | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John Mason | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas David | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Devyn Weed | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 10.9% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 24.2% | 15.6% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 14.8% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.