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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+3.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.11+4.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+4.95vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.84+3.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+1.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07+0.67vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-3.53vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.87-0.61vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.37vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.15vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.53+0.87vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-2.33vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.92-5.63vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.74-2.64vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.53-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.47Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.39Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.85SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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13.87McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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11.67Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.36Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| George Saunders | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mark Abraao York | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 29.4% |
| Blair Davis | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Zach Runci | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| John Marzulli | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 21.7% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 20.2% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.