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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.93-5.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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2.44Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 31.3% | 28.3% | 19.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.0% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.0% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 18.3% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 59.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.