← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.20vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.44+0.78vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.92+0.44vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine1.06+2.57vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.93-1.64vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.16vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.16vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.89vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.99vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
2.78Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
-
3.44University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
6.57University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
3.36University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
-
5.84University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.84University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
6.11University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
5.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.1% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 26.2% | 24.0% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 17.9% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 18.7% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 17.8% | 59.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.