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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+5.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.44-4.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
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5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 28.4% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 15.0% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 17.1% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 20.4% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 29.9% | 25.5% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 60.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.