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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+2.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 18.8% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 24.6% | 24.9% | 21.3% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.3% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 19.4% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.