← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.44+1.64vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.93+0.46vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+2.04vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+2.89vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii2.92-2.59vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.83vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine1.06-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.30vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.53-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.64Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
-
6.06University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
3.46University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
-
6.04University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
3.41University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
3.17University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
6.63University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
5.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
6.06University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 29.2% | 25.4% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 56.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.6% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.6% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 25.9% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.