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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+0.44vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.44-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.05vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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2.56Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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5.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.9% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 17.5% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 29.1% | 26.4% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 18.7% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 25.1% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 60.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.