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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92-0.63vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.44-2.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.12vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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2.62Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.7% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.1% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.5% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 31.9% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 60.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.