← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.44+1.66vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.92+0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.93-0.66vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.87vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine1.06+0.60vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.92vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.97vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
-
6.03University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
3.45University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
3.34University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
-
3.13University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
6.6University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
5.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.08University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.03University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 28.1% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.7% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 18.2% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 21.2% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 27.4% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 59.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.