← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.44+1.54vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.92+0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.88vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.33-0.78vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.41vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine1.06-0.37vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.41vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.37vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
-
3.23University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
3.3University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.22University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.63University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
5.59University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
5.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 31.2% | 24.2% | 21.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.1% | 22.2% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 19.7% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 27.2% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.