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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.56vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70-1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-1.30vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.08-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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3.7University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 17.7% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 11.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 42.8% | 30.0% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 13.2% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 23.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.