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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University-0.25+8.51vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.41+4.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.38+4.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+5.64vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.79-0.70vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.47-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.02+0.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.01-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.93+1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.70-3.29vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.63-1.24vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.59+1.11vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.19-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.40vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.96-4.01vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College-0.25-7.75vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-2.68-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Tufts University-0.254.2%1st Place
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6.94Brown University0.417.3%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University0.387.0%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.183.6%1st Place
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4.03Boston University0.9720.8%1st Place
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5.3Brown University0.7912.1%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College0.479.5%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont-0.025.9%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University0.014.7%1st Place
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11.72University of New Hampshire-0.932.4%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island0.706.5%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University-0.633.2%1st Place
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14.11McGill University-1.591.1%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University-0.194.2%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire-1.411.4%1st Place
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11.99Boston University-0.961.7%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College-0.253.9%1st Place
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16.39Amherst College-2.680.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Traver | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 20.8% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| John Mason | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 15.2% |
| Grant Smith | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 11.5% |
| Nicholas David | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Owen Warren | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.