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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.74vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.70vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70-2.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.42-3.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.43-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.08-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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2.03Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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7.51University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 12.9% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.5% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 43.3% | 28.5% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.