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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.42+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.43+0.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.84vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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3.75University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 45.8% | 26.5% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.6% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.0% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.2% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 23.0% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.