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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.21vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.42-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-3.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 45.7% | 26.2% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.8% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.8% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.