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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-2.74vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.32-5.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 45.1% | 27.5% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.4% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 17.9% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 9.9% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.