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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.05vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.08-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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3.7University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.36University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 46.4% | 28.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.3% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 11.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 23.0% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.