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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.08+4.06vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.43vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.70-4.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-4.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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1.99Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 12.3% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 17.7% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 45.3% | 27.6% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.2% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 21.1% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.