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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.42-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08+0.07vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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3.75University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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6.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 45.6% | 28.2% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.9% | 19.3% | 23.7% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.8% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.4% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.