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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.31vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70-0.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 13.8% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.7% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 43.6% | 28.6% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 13.1% | 15.3% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.