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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.72vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.42-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.08+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.76vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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2.04Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.5University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 13.5% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 44.3% | 27.0% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.6% | 22.5% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 13.2% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 22.5% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.