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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.42+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.20vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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3.75University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 46.0% | 27.4% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.4% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.2% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.7% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 23.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.