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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+10.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.52+7.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.85vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61+1.27vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+3.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.53+3.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.76+1.61vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29+2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.36+1.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.20vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-1.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.50-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.35+1.10vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.76-5.65vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.68vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-6.88vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-7.00vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.7Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.92Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.27College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.65Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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8.35Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Allison Blecher | 14.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Lihan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Megan Magill | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Christina Pryne | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Christina Baker | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 35.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.