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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.08+3.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.38+5.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University-0.25+6.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.02+4.56vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97-0.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.47+0.90vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+2.70vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.79-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.70-1.05vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.47+0.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College-0.25-1.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.01-3.11vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.96-0.81vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.63-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.93-3.30vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.59-1.76vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.41-3.32vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.69-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Brown University1.0814.1%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University0.387.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University-0.254.2%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont-0.024.8%1st Place
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4.18Boston University0.9719.5%1st Place
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6.9Bowdoin College0.478.2%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.184.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University0.7911.9%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island0.705.1%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University-0.472.4%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College-0.253.6%1st Place
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8.89Northeastern University0.014.7%1st Place
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12.19Boston University-0.961.5%1st Place
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11.13Harvard University-0.632.9%1st Place
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11.7University of New Hampshire-0.932.3%1st Place
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14.24McGill University-1.591.2%1st Place
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13.68University of New Hampshire-1.411.4%1st Place
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14.59Amherst College-1.691.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Greta Traver | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| William Denker | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 19.5% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Owen Warren | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas David | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 25.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 19.9% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.