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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.07+7.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+2.23vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.53vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+4.86vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.84+2.74vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.87+1.32vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.53+3.91vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.53+2.92vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-0.46vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.92-3.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-5.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.11-6.36vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-9.99vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.74-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.53St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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5.5Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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9.32Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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13.92McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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11.54Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.39Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Saunders | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Clark Hayes | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Hannon | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 27.7% |
| Mark Abraao York | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 30.6% |
| Blair Davis | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Zach Runci | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Nick Aswad | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.