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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.08+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.53vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-3.64vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-4.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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5.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 45.9% | 26.0% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.3% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.6% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.1% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 23.6% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.