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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.15vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.42-1.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Stanford University2.930.3%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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6.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.37University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 29.3% | 23.5% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 20.9% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 16.1% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 16.5% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.