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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+2.69vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93-3.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.71vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.42-5.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.08-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University2.930.3%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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6.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Hawaii2.420.2%1st Place
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7.37University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 22.8% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 17.2% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 26.8% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 16.1% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.