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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.22vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93-1.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.32-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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2.77Stanford University2.930.3%1st Place
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6.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 16.8% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 21.6% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 27.2% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.