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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+1.78vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-1.22vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.18-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.57-5.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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2.56Stanford University2.930.3%1st Place
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2.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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6.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 14.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 31.6% | 25.1% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 25.6% | 24.8% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 21.5% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.