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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+5.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.38vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+5.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+4.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.14vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+1.50vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11+0.08vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-3.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-3.19vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.47vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-1.31vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.65vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-4.42vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.08Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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12.69Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.52Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 24.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 14.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.