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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.87+7.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+3.41vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.14vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.23vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.22vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-4.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-2.30vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-4.00vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-2.35vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.60vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.16-3.42vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.52Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Rolander | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.7% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 16.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 22.6% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.