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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.70vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+2.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+2.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+3.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+1.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.59vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16+1.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-3.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.16vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-3.50vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-4.48vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.11-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.5Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.52Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 26.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.