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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.19vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+7.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+5.61vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+4.04vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+1.93vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-2.12vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16+1.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-0.57vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.72-6.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.55vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-6.61vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-4.48vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.49-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.93Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.56Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.43Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.6Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.52Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 24.9% |
| John Silvestri | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| John Rolander | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.