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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+6.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+6.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.87+6.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.01vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+6.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-0.69vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.76vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-1.95vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-0.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.16vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.72-8.53vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-9.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.26Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.38Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| John Rolander | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 24.4% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.