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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+3.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.41+4.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.47+3.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University-0.25+5.47vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College-0.25+4.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.79-0.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.38+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.02+0.71vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.01-0.43vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.41+2.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.63-1.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.47-2.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.70-6.01vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.96-3.11vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.59-1.68vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.69-2.48vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.93-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Boston University0.9718.0%1st Place
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6.79Brown University0.418.8%1st Place
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6.64Bowdoin College0.478.2%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University-0.254.3%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College-0.254.7%1st Place
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5.48Brown University0.7912.2%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University0.387.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont-0.025.0%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University0.015.5%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.184.0%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire-1.411.0%1st Place
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10.88Harvard University-0.633.5%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University-0.473.7%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island0.706.2%1st Place
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11.89Boston University-0.962.1%1st Place
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14.32McGill University-1.591.0%1st Place
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14.52Amherst College-1.691.4%1st Place
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11.49University of New Hampshire-0.933.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 18.0% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Riley Donahue | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greta Traver | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Owen Warren | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 18.4% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| John Mason | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas David | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 24.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 30.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.