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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+4.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.49vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.58vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.22vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+3.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.36vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87+1.66vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.63vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+0.55vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16+0.48vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.10vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.61vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.49-9.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.48Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.6Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| John Silvestri | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 23.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% |
| John Rolander | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.