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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+6.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.33vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+4.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+3.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.72vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.93vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11-1.29vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-4.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.72vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-7.03vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-4.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.16-2.50vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.87-6.14vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.21Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.62Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.86Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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11.53Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.3% |
| William Crary | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 24.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.