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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+8.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.87+7.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+6.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.55vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+4.46vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-1.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-1.35vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.43vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-1.46vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.11-4.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-7.69vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-6.24vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.16-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.71Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.54Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cobi Allen | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| John Silvestri | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| John Rolander | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.