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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.52vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+6.60vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.87+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.65vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+0.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16+0.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-5.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.57vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-9.08vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.72-9.50vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.53Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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5.92Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 24.3% |
| John Rolander | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.